Prediction

I'll predict Ron Paul gets about 2000 votes, I think that will be just over 10%.
I'll even up my contribution to Paul's campaign, I'll bring it up to be the greater of $20 for every percent or 10 cents for every vote he gets in the straw poll.

Looking back at the 1999 straw poll, the Bush campaign bought 10,500 tickets. But he only got 7418 votes. I predict a better percentage return on Paul's tickets, about a 200% return.